There is more to life than gold.
Having seen a mere 10 of the 32 released movies nominated (and 2 of the 8 Best Picture nominees), don't be surprised if things are more than a little...guessy for most of these categories.
Picture: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom.
Actor: Good as Gary Oldman was in Mank, Chadwick Boseman - unfortunately - won't have a chance to be nominated ever again. Let's just call this a make-up Oscar for Get on Up.
Actress: I really think that Carey Mulligan was terrific in Promising Young Woman, balancing the story's moods effectively.
Supporting Actor: The buzz around Daniel Kaluuya has been deafening. Who am I to contradict it?
Supporting Actress: I was really impressed with Amanda Seyfried in Mank, though I have a feeling about Yuh-Jung Joun.
Director: Chloe Zhao.
Original Screenplay: Promising Young Woman.
Adapted Screenplay: Nomadland.
Cinematography: News of the World.
Editing: Nomadland.
Production Design: Tenet.
Costume Design: I'm going with Ma Rainey's Black Bottom.
Original Score: Da 5 Bloods. Not only the strongest score of a middling field (Mank would've, for sure, made my top 10 list had it been more judiciously spotted), but easily the best thing about the messy - yet weirdly otherwise snubbed - film.
Original Song: "Speak Now", I guess.
Animated Feature: Wolfwalkers, easily. If a) Monkeybone were as well known a dud as, say, Battlefield: Earth and b) people could let themselves see the resemblance between the films, Soul wouldn't be anywhere near front-runner status. Wolfwalkers is more imaginatively animated, better-scored, more emotionally resonant. I cannot imagine why this is a contest.
Animated Short: "Burrow", if only for the Pixar imprimatur.
Live-Action Short: From the descriptions of the nominated shorts, I would give it to "Feeling Through". (I have a bad feeling that it'll end up going to "Two Distant Strangers". Never seen it, never will, but don't trust the positive reviews.)
Documentary Short: I've heard interesting things about "Colette".
Visual Effects: Tenet. Period.
Make-Up and Hairstyling: I want to say Pinocchio.
Sound: Sound of Metal, just because. Also, good on them for condensing the two categories into one.
International Feature: Another Round.
Documentary Feature: "Collective".
Labels: Oscar stuff